As the 2024 Republican primary looms, a new poll reveals that Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has a 9-point lead over former President Donald Trump in a hypothetical head-to-head match-up. With Trump already announcing his bid for the White House and DeSantis widely expected to do the same, the poll from the conservative Club for Growth has the potential to signal a major showdown between the two GOP figures.
So why should you read on? This blog post will provide a friendly representation of the research, framed in an interesting and visual way for readers. We’ll explore the results of the poll, what it means for the potential Republican nominees, and how the Club for Growth is responding.
The poll surveyed 3,015 likely Republican primary voters and found that DeSantis has a commanding lead over Trump in a head-to-head match-up, garnering 49% of the vote. In a crowded seven-person primary poll, Trump led DeSantis by 37% to 33%. Former Vice President Mike Pence finished a distant third with just 7% of the vote.
The polling also reveals a fractured support between more conservative Republicans and those who identified as moderate. In the head-to-head match-up, Trump won 52% of the vote from people who identified as very conservative, while DeSantis was more popular with voters who said they were either somewhat conservative or moderate/liberal, securing 56% and 51% of their support respectively.
Club for Growth President David McIntosh told The Hill that his group invited all the names on the poll, including DeSantis, Pence, Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.) and former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, among others, to their donor retreat — except for Trump. McIntosh said the club does not consider itself “never Trump” by any means but believes the party should be open to looking at a different candidate.
Polling this week from ABC and The Washington Post showed that Republican voters were nearly split between wanting to move on from Trump and believing he should be the nominee in 2024.
So what does this all mean? It’s clear that the Republican party is divided on the issue of who should be their nominee in 2024. While Trump has a clear lead in the polls, DeSantis is a strong contender who could potentially challenge him. The Club for Growth is taking a neutral stance on the issue, inviting all potential candidates to their donor retreat except for Trump.
It’s still early days, but this poll from the Club for Growth provides an interesting insight into the potential Republican nominees for 2024. With the party divided, it will be interesting to see how the race plays out in the coming months.